The Cycle
- Scan environment and collect raw data
- Sort by time, location, actor, method
- Look for repetitions and relationships
- Predict intent, then move decisively
Pattern Types
- Track temporal cycles and schedules
- Map spatial routes and locations
- Note behavioral habits and tendencies
- Trace associative and financial links
Data Sources
- Gather HUMINT from talk and observation
- Collect SIGINT from signals and metadata
- Mine OSINT from public records
- Pull IMINT from imagery and surveillance
Baseline
- Collect sufficient data over time
- Define the boundaries of normal
- Update the baseline continuously
- Build confidence before judging deviation
Anomalies
- Flag sudden shifts in frequency
- Note deviations from usual timing
- Mark new or unusual locations
- Watch for rising secrecy and resources
Field Application
- Detect threats before they form
- Identify key actors and openings
- Read surveillance and counter-surveillance
- Sharpen your decision edge
Stay Detached
- Observe without forming early bias
- Validate significance before acting
- Separate signal from random noise
- Let the data lead the call